Why catastrophe models still fall short: adaptation, inflation and risk in 2025
Catastrophe modelling still has critical gaps. In this session, we explore what’s missing in current models, including adaptation, inflation, socio-economic risk and the realities of climate change. This discussion looks at where model assumptions meet real-world uncertainty and how the industry can respond.
Panelists
- Paul Wilson, Catastrophe and Climate Research – Twelve Capital
- Sandra Hansen, Head of International Peril Advisory – Guy Carpenter
- Moderator: Ludovico Nicotina, Head of Catastrophe Research – Inigo
What you’ll learn
- What elements are still missing from catastrophe models
- How adaptation and resilience are reflected at site and community scale
- The impact of socio-economic factors on loss outcomes
- How model transparency supports better decision-making
- The role of flexibility and user-driven views of risk
