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Exponential Risk

Welcome to the new community for catastrophe, climate, property and exposure risk.

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January 22, 2026
The coastline is moving: Is your model keeping up?
Storm surge remains one of the hardest perils to underwrite with confidence. In this webinar hosted with Ocean Ledger, who focus on the underlying coastal drivers of storm surge, and KatRisk, we explored how you can use up-to-date standardised, scalable data inputs alongside established models to reduce uncertainty and improve risk selection.
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InsTech Podcast
January 4, 2026
Showing the world how to revolutionise modelling
Matthew Grant is joined by David Wood, Managing Director at JBA Risk Management, and Jochen Papenbrock, Head of Financial Technology (EMEA) at NVIDIA, to explore how accelerated computing is unlocking new ways to simulate and manage flood risk.
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InsTech Podcast
December 21, 2025
How insurers can better evaluate cat models in a multi-vendor world
In this episode, Claire Souch is joined by Tom Philp, James Lay and Stephen Martin for a timely discussion on the future of catastrophe model evaluation, and why it's no longer enough to simply trust what’s in the black box.
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InsTech Podcast
December 14, 2025
The rise of niche model vendors
In this episode, Brian Owens is joined by Dana Foley, Joss Matthewman and Olivia Sloan to explore the growing influence of specialist model vendors in catastrophe risk modelling and why they’re anything but “niche”.
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December 10, 2025
Lessons from 2025’s major catastrophe events
Leading catastrophe risk experts analysed 2025's major catastrophe events and discussed what they reveal about model performance, global risk correlations, and evolving hazard patterns. Learn practical lessons for strengthening catastrophe risk management and model governance.
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November 20, 2025
From risk to resilience – MSCI on climate models, regulation and opportunity
In this panel from InsTech's October evening event, Kyra Gibhardt from MSCI explores the practical use of climate models, the role of regulation and the opportunity in carbon and nature-based markets.
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November 20, 2025
Evaluating catastrophe models in insurance – what works and what’s changing
This panel from InsTech's October evening event, explores how multi-model platforms, transparent tools and new thinking are reshaping how risk is priced, selected and managed.
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November 13, 2025
The science missing from catastrophe modelling – a start-up perspective
In this panel from InsTech's October evening event, Paige Roepers, CEO & Co-Founder of Ocean Ledger, explains how start-ups are reshaping catastrophe modelling by integrating environmental data, coastal ecosystems and natural defences into how we define vulnerability.
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November 11, 2025
How niche catastrophe models are changing insurance risk
In this panel from InsTech's October evening event, we explore the rise of new providers like Fathom and Reask and their growing role in flood, wildfire and climate risk modelling.
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InsTech Podcast
November 9, 2025
The case for certainty and real-time insight in insurance
In this episode, Matthew Grant sits down with Jonathan Rake, CEO of Risk Data Solutions at Swiss Re, to explore how a major reinsurer is building data and analytics as core capabilities beyond traditional risk‑transfer.
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November 6, 2025
How AI is changing flood modelling
In this panel from InsTech's October evening event, Professor Paul Bates CBE FRS (Chairman & Co-Founder, Fathom) joins Matthew Grant (CEO, InsTech) to explore the evolution of catastrophe models - from better digital elevation data to the limits of AI in physics-based modelling.
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InsTech Podcast
November 2, 2025
Navigating uncertainty in cat risk
Alice Kaye (Inigo), Caroline McMullan (Verisk) and Dickie Whitaker (Oasis LMF) discuss how to bridge the gap between sophisticated catastrophe models and real-world decisions, and why embracing uncertainty is key to better risk management.